American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
2 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
3 FARRAG Sherif G. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
5 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
6 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
7 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
8 WU Albert 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
9 CANDESCU Cristian 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
10 SPIRLI Francesco 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
11 CHO Justin Y. 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 10%
12 HEALY Griffen 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
13 KASI Sanjay 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
14 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
15 GEE Brandon 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
17 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
18 JANG Jaewon 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
19 MA Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
20 GRIGORIEV Eduard 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
21 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
22 BROOKES Scott L. 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
23 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
24 ZHOU Timmy 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
25 BADRIGIAN William H. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
26 LIU Eric P. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
27 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
28 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
29 WU Wesley E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
30 REGE Advaith 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
31 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
32 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
33 BATRAK Alexander 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3%
34 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
35 WETMORE Lucas W. 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
36 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
37 HO Ryan J. 100% 91% 65% 32% 10% 2% -
38 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
39 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
40 LEE Daniel C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
41 MILLER Trent D. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
42 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 99% 78% 37% 8% 1% -
43 LAWRENCE John W. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
44 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
45 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
46 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
46 COOK John J. 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% - -
48 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 97% 87% 61% 28% 6%
49 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
50 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
51 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
51 RECHLER Logan 100% 86% 50% 15% 1% - -
53 ENGEL Henry R. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
54 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.