American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
2 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
3 BROWN Zackery J. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
3 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
5 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
6 MICHELL Bailey 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% < 1%
7 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
8 TIAN Albert 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 8%
9 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 11%
10 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
11 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
12 YEN Darren 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3%
13 VACCARI Braden 100% 95% 50% 12% 1% -
14 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
15 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
16 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
17 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
18 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
19 TANG Brendan J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
20 WANG Qifa 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8%
21 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
22 HAN Nicholas 100% 99% 81% 40% 8% 1%
23 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
24 LIN John A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
25 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
26 NG Jonathan H. 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
27 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
28 CHIEN Phillip L. 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
29 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
30 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
31 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
32 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
33 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
34 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
35 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
36 ODIERNO Payton W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
37 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
38 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
39 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
40 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
41 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
42 CACERES Hernan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
43 CHAN Daniel 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
44 WU Nicholas R. 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% -
45 NOLTEMY Daniel J. 100% 89% 49% 12% 1% -
46 KIM Avery J. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
47 KAHN Justin M. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% -
48 TANG Albert 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
49 HUAYTA James W. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
50 HALL Justyn 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
51 LIN William 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
52 YEN Preston 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1%
53 MARSDEN Jack C. 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
53 LIU Vincent S. 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
55 QUAN Nicholas 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
56 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
57 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
58 REYES Kyle 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
59 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
60 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% -
61 SHAKER Maged 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
62 MESKILL Adam T. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
63 QIN Alexander 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
64 YOU Jaden 100% 30% 2% - - - -
65 RONGET Gaspard 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
67 DUNN John (Jack) F. 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
68 MESHKOV Andrey 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
69 ZHOU Miles 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
70 KARABULUT Burhan 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
71 KURTZ Christopher S. 100% 76% 23% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.