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DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
2 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
3 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 23%
3 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
5 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
6 HEADRICK Lance 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% < 1%
7 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
8 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
9 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
10 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 16%
11 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
12 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
13 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 98% 70% 23% 2% -
14 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
15 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
16 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
17 SHREM Samuel G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 10%
18 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 91% 55% 12% 1%
19 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
20 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
21 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 97% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
22 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
22 SO Lorenzo 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
24 CHEN Brian 100% 97% 72% 26% 3% -
25 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
26 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
27 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
28 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
29 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 68% 22% 2% -
30 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
31 ABBOUD Michael 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
32 LEE JoonWon 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% -
33 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
34 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 83% 39% 5% -
35 KANG Eunwoo 100% 100% 80% 33% 4% -
36 BYUN Andrew 100% 91% 53% 14% 1% -
37 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
38 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
39 METZLER Calder 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% - -
40 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 100% 95% 60% 17% 1% -
41 LEE Aiden 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
42 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 99% 91% 58% 17% 2%
43 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
44 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 38% 6% - - - -
45 MACE Eliza M. 100% 97% 38% 6% - - -
46 PETROW Zoryan 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
47 METZLER Jack 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
48 LENAR David 100% 39% 6% - - - -
49 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
50 SMITH Auynha 100% 4% - - - -
51 SAMPAIO Beatriz 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.