The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 9:00 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
2 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
3 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
5 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 14%
7 LI Shuang 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 4%
8 RAO Sonia D. 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
9 MU Allison 100% 99% 72% 29% 5% < 1%
10 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 2%
11 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
12 ZHANG Eunice 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
13 OH Ceana 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
14 KOROL Dana 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
15 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
16 FUNG Vera 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6%
17 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
18 FERNANDES Thea 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 11%
19 KIM Rachel 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
20 PENG Serena 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
21 LEE Allison 100% 100% 85% 47% 13% 1%
22 SEAL Julie T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
23 WELBORN Calissa 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
24 BAIXAULI Carme 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% -
25 CARVAJAL Sofia 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
26 SUN Emily 100% 100% 96% 73% 24% 2%
27 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
28 LENK Sophie 100% 90% 53% 13% 1% -
29 ZHENG Zoe 100% 81% 35% 6% - -
30 QUINN Anna 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1% -
31 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
32 WANG Celine S. 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
33 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
34 EDWARDS Darby 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
35 NICKOLOV Nora 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
36 SEN Arjen 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
37 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
38 GOEL Riyana 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
39 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 67% 21% 2% - -
40 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% -
41 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
42 SANDVIK Clarissa A. 100% 11% - - - -
43 XIE Su 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.