2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
3 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
5 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
6 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
7 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
8 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
9 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
10 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
11 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
12 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
13 LAUB William 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
14 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
15 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
16 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
17 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
18 OH Aster 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 6%
19 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
20 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
21 OLOUGHLIN Quin 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
22 AO Christopher 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
23 ALLARDYCE Graham 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
24 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
25 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
26 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
27 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
28 LEE Griffin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
29 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
30 SAKAYEDA Jacob 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
31 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
32 SASSI Ilyas 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
33 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
34 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
35 MONTALVO Matthew 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
36 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
37 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
38 ALLARDYCE Lachlan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
39 TANG Shu Hon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 18%
40 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
41 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
42 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
43 LIGH Checed 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
44 WONG Caleb W. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
45 DEELY Hartigan 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
46 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
47 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
48 ZHANG Ray 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
49 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
50 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
51 BALE Atman 100% 96% 68% 26% 5% -
52 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
53 CHANG Timothy 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% -
54 TSAO Alister 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
55 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
56 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 3%
57 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
58 SHAH Sohan 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
59 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
60 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
61 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 97% 70% 29% 5% -
62 JIANG Terence 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -
63 VOHRA Ekam 100% 74% 24% 3% - - -
64 TSATSAS Andreas 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
65 BHANDARE Niev 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
66 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
67 MARTINSON Torm 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
68 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
69 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
70 GORDON Samuel 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
70 CRAWFORD William 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
72 DIGIACOMO Dennis G. 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2% -
73 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
74 JAIN Karanvir 100% 93% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
75 CAREY Sam 100% 96% 73% 28% 5% - -
76 CHEA Caden 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
76 HU Jayden 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
78 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 90% 52% 15% 2% - -
78 PATEL Arush 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
80 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -
81 MIR Alexander 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
82 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
83 MILLET Etienne 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
84 CUSSON William 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
85 MADHAVAN Arjun 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
86 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
87 FARBER Jake 100% 36% 6% - - -
88 SUH Leo 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
89 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
89 TSAI Kai-An 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1% -
91 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% - -
92 GRAVES Connor 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
93 BUDAEV Artem 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.