The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

The Botterell

Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 3:00 PM

NKFA - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCNICHOLAS Evan - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
2 BAMPTON Nicholas - - 6% 61% 30% 3%
3 CORNETT Sawyer Reece - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8%
3 CONN Brian - - 4% 24% 46% 25%
5 MANAUGH Guy - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
6 JONES Reilly - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
7 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew - - - 8% 49% 43%
8 WRIGHT Dylan - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
9 AGUILAR Nicolas F. 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
10 HE Matthew 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
11 DIDAY Griffen - 10% 33% 37% 17% 3%
12 YORK Joseph 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
13 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
14 MILLER Zach 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
15 DEMANGONE Reed - 10% 32% 38% 18% 3%
16 MANAUGH Calliope 13% 52% 30% 5% - -
17 KIM Emily 1% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
18 LYU Mengyao 5% 36% 53% 5% - -
19 BRISKI Loyd 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
20 SCHNUR Luke 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
21 KING Alice - 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% -
22 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
23 FOREMAN Elizabeth 7% 32% 39% 18% 4% - -
24 MCCOY Brennan 51% 41% 8% - - -
25 CHARLTON Cecelia 81% 18% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.