The Botterell

Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 3:00 PM

NKFA - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCNICHOLAS Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
2 BAMPTON Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 94% 33% 3%
3 CORNETT Sawyer Reece 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
3 CONN Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 25%
5 MANAUGH Guy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
6 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
7 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 43%
8 WRIGHT Dylan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
9 AGUILAR Nicolas F. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
10 HE Matthew 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
11 DIDAY Griffen 100% 100% 90% 57% 19% 3%
12 YORK Joseph 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
13 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
14 MILLER Zach 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
15 DEMANGONE Reed 100% 100% 90% 59% 21% 3%
16 MANAUGH Calliope 100% 87% 35% 5% - -
17 KIM Emily 100% 99% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
18 LYU Mengyao 100% 95% 59% 5% - -
19 BRISKI Loyd 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
20 SCHNUR Luke 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% -
21 KING Alice 100% 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -
22 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
23 FOREMAN Elizabeth 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
24 MCCOY Brennan 100% 49% 8% - - -
25 CHARLTON Cecelia 100% 19% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.