Colorado Cup #3

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Fencing Academy of Denver - Littleton, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
3 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 34%
5 HARR Carver 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
6 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
7 EVANS Tyler 100% 99% 89% 52% 13% 1%
8 TRAN Bryn L. 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
9 AGGELER Donovan 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
10 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
11 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
12 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
13 BARON Sabina 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2% -
14 MILEY Walker 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
15 KENT IV David 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
16 MACMILLAN Collin 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
17 PEARSON Heila 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 3%
18 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
19 WELCH Bryant 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 4%
20 DANIS Blake M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
21 LEWIS Rachel 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1% -
22 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
23 GAMMILL Luke 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
24 RASMUSSEN Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
25 RODRIGUES Nicholas 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
26 LEE Jayden J. 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
26 LEWIS Cole 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
28 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
29 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
30 SKUBIC Wyatt 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
31 TIBBETTS Noah 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
32 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
33 MU Jason 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
34 REDD Andrew C. 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
35 FUNSTON Lauren L. 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 5% -
36 FOX Alexander 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
37 NANNEMANN Chandler 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
38 MCGOUGH Kevin 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
39 GREGER Sarah 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.