1st Annual Bruce Capin Memorial Brawl

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 12, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WOLFE Alex - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 MCDANIELS Jeremy - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 HANDBERG Paul - - 19% 55% 26%
3 SIMMES Jackson - 7% 34% 44% 15%
5 CLAYTON Robert - - 3% 21% 44% 31%
6 ALVIOR Joshua - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
7 IRWIN Peter - 4% 41% 45% 9%
8 ROMERO KURI Alexander - 1% 13% 50% 36%
9 KOSSMANN Alexander - 3% 26% 47% 24%
10 FREY Wayne - 1% 11% 49% 39%
11 DUPREE Thomas - - 1% 9% 54% 37%
12 WOLF Christopher - 7% 33% 44% 15% -
13 CUNNINGHAM. John - - 9% 69% 22%
14 MODULLA Yathin - 3% 18% 44% 35%
15 NUDELMAN Aleksandr - 1% 15% 49% 35%
16 ALVIOR Jacob - 1% 12% 51% 36%
17 CHENG Ava - 1% 18% 41% 31% 8%
18 VON ESCHEN Benjamin - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
19 LIU Dylan - 1% 22% 52% 24% 2%
20 DINKINS Adam - 4% 26% 41% 24% 5%
21 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
22 LEADBETTER Gordon 1% 11% 39% 40% 9%
23 LIU Kevin 2% 24% 65% 8% -
24 KYPRAIOS Nicholas - - 1% 27% 72%
25 WEDDLE Carson 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% -
26 PRICE Jordan 5% 31% 40% 20% 4% -
27 MCFARLAND John - 1% 13% 37% 38% 12%
28 GROSSE Michael - 2% 38% 47% 13%
29 FERNLUND Helen 11% 36% 37% 15% 2%
29 LANGUASCO Michael 4% 32% 53% 10% -
31 VENZON Gavin Roy 4% 24% 42% 25% 4% -
32 RASSEL John 4% 29% 45% 20% 2% -
33 BOLLE Elijah 35% 50% 14% 1% -
34 LE Kevin - 5% 22% 41% 27% 3%
35 ROMERO KURI Celeste 6% 28% 42% 22% 2%
36 RILEY Grace 44% 43% 11% 1% -
37 MCCREARY Madeleine 41% 44% 14% 2% -
38 HAMER-HODGES Charles - 2% 20% 48% 30%
39 LIU Nick 62% 36% 2% - -
40 FREEMAN Zachary 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
41 FULLERTON Joshua - 5% 25% 44% 23% 3%
42 URIBE LEON Sebastian - 7% 28% 43% 21% 2%
43 WAGMAN Robert - 2% 26% 48% 24%
44 GELNAW William (Gypsy) - 1% 8% 37% 55%
45 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 2% 20% 53% 22% 2%
46 CARRIE Konnor 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
47 FORTIER Adriana 19% 67% 14% - -
48 DOAN Dylan 43% 43% 13% 1% -
49 BELL Adam 29% 59% 11% 1% -
50 GUADAMUZ Cesar 59% 38% 3% - -
51 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 1%
52 CROSS Phoenix 21% 55% 22% 3% - -
52 COLLINS Hannah 11% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
54 ROZET Alice 3% 48% 38% 10% 1% -
55 KURCHIN Ekaterina 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
56 RODA Thaleia 42% 49% 9% - -
57 CULLEN Reilly 31% 62% 7% - -
58 MIHALIK Alva 20% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
59 KOTHA Maanas 15% 47% 33% 4% -
60 AGEE Brendon 63% 32% 4% - -
61 DAVIS Kelly 6% 55% 32% 6% -
62 MIA Raj 22% 57% 20% 2% - -
63 MAY Courtney 81% 18% 1% - - -
63 WILFORD Madigan 54% 38% 7% - - -
65 BERNSTEIN Leo 52% 38% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.