1st Annual Bruce Capin Memorial Brawl

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 12, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 HANDBERG Paul 100% 100% 100% 81% 26%
3 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 93% 59% 15%
5 CLAYTON Robert 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 31%
6 ALVIOR Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
7 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 96% 54% 9%
8 ROMERO KURI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 86% 36%
9 KOSSMANN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 72% 24%
10 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 99% 88% 39%
11 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 37%
12 WOLF Christopher 100% 100% 93% 59% 16% -
13 CUNNINGHAM. John 100% 100% 100% 90% 22%
14 MODULLA Yathin 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
15 NUDELMAN Aleksandr 100% 100% 99% 84% 35%
16 ALVIOR Jacob 100% 100% 99% 87% 36%
17 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 99% 80% 39% 8%
18 VON ESCHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16%
19 LIU Dylan 100% 100% 99% 77% 25% 2%
20 DINKINS Adam 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
21 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
22 LEADBETTER Gordon 100% 99% 88% 49% 9%
23 LIU Kevin 100% 98% 74% 8% -
24 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 72%
25 WEDDLE Carson 100% 97% 78% 39% 8% -
26 PRICE Jordan 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
27 MCFARLAND John 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 12%
28 GROSSE Michael 100% 100% 98% 60% 13%
29 FERNLUND Helen 100% 89% 53% 17% 2%
29 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 96% 64% 11% -
31 VENZON Gavin Roy 100% 96% 71% 29% 4% -
32 RASSEL John 100% 96% 67% 22% 2% -
33 BOLLE Elijah 100% 65% 15% 1% -
34 LE Kevin 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 3%
35 ROMERO KURI Celeste 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
36 RILEY Grace 100% 56% 12% 1% -
37 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 59% 16% 2% -
38 HAMER-HODGES Charles 100% 100% 98% 78% 30%
39 LIU Nick 100% 38% 2% - -
40 FREEMAN Zachary 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5%
41 FULLERTON Joshua 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 3%
42 URIBE LEON Sebastian 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 2%
43 WAGMAN Robert 100% 100% 98% 72% 24%
44 GELNAW William (Gypsy) 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
45 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 98% 78% 24% 2%
46 CARRIE Konnor 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
47 FORTIER Adriana 100% 81% 14% - -
48 DOAN Dylan 100% 57% 14% 1% -
49 BELL Adam 100% 71% 12% 1% -
50 GUADAMUZ Cesar 100% 41% 4% - -
51 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 1%
52 CROSS Phoenix 100% 79% 25% 3% - -
52 COLLINS Hannah 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
54 ROZET Alice 100% 97% 49% 11% 1% -
55 KURCHIN Ekaterina 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
56 RODA Thaleia 100% 58% 10% - -
57 CULLEN Reilly 100% 69% 7% - -
58 MIHALIK Alva 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
59 KOTHA Maanas 100% 85% 38% 4% -
60 AGEE Brendon 100% 37% 4% - -
61 DAVIS Kelly 100% 94% 39% 6% -
62 MIA Raj 100% 78% 22% 2% - -
63 MAY Courtney 100% 19% 2% - - -
63 WILFORD Madigan 100% 46% 8% - - -
65 BERNSTEIN Leo 100% 48% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.