Junior Olympics

Cadet Women's Saber

Monday, February 20, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Sophie - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
2 SHEARER Natalie E. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
3 LEE Hannah - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
5 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
6 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
7 HILD Nisha - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
8 PAUL Lila - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
9 CHIN Sophia J. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
10 GHAYALOD reya - - - 1% 6% 34% 59%
11 LU Elaine - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
12 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
13 DUCKETT Madison - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
14 TSUI Natalie - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
15 JUNG Irene - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
16 BARNOVITZ Maya - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
17 SHI Cathleen - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
18 KER Grace - - - 3% 17% 41% 37%
19 NATH Trisha - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
20 LI Amanda C. - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
21 HUAI Delilah - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
22 CHANG Audrey - - 2% 16% 39% 36% 7%
23 LEE Sophia - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 3%
24 ERIKSON Kira R. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
25 VADASZ Ibla P. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
26 ATTIA Jasmine 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
27 XIONG Haojiao - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 12%
28 HUNG Anna - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
29 ALCEBAR Kayla - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
30 LIGH Erenei J. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
31 XU Emily T. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
32 TABANGAY Heartlyn - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
33 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
34 WEI Vivian W. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
35 YANG Angelina LeLe - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
36 MARYASH Samantha - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
37 CHIARELLI Valentina - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
38 HU Michelle - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
39 ZHANG XUANYI - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
40 LIM Jaslene - - 3% 19% 39% 31% 7%
41 FAVO Isabella 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
42 FESTA Carina - 1% 5% 21% 38% 30% 6%
43 NATHANSON Sammy E. - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
44 NGUYEN Siena - 5% 22% 40% 29% 5%
44 KHAN Alissa - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
46 ZHANG Sophie 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
47 SINHA Anika - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
48 CHEN Kevy - 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
49 JOHNSON Lydia - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
50 KIM Marley I. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
51 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
52 MANN Sophia J. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
53 YANG Ashley M. - - - 4% 17% 42% 37%
53 MANSPERGER Leena - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 9%
55 DENG Brooke - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
56 LIU Yifei - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 4%
57 MARGULIAN Maria 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
58 HENRY Soraya S. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
59 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
60 MAKLIN Sofia - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
61 SCOTT Eve 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
61 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
63 BIRNSTILL Reese 6% 36% 39% 16% 3% - -
64 YAO Rainie 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
65 HITOMI Nadya 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
66 CHO Michelle 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
67 LAURI Keira 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
68 YUAN Greta - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
69 JEONG Katie - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
70 FEIG Sela - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
71 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
72 KONDEV Elizabeth - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
73 SOURIMTO Valeria - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
74 MUND Ruth - - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
75 YAM Danika - - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
75 FAN Grace 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
77 GOLOVITSER Maya 1% 11% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
78 FREEMAN Armine 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
79 MULAGARI Sadhika 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
80 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
81 LIN Nicole 1% 8% 26% 36% 24% 6%
82 LIU Sydney 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
83 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
84 GOMERMAN Sophia 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
85 YOUNG Charlotte G. 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
86 MALEK Zolie - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
87 TONG Jessie - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
88 HAMMERSTROM Aria 2% 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
88 STONE Coral - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
90 GOLDIN Nina 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
90 SCHMIDT Isabel - 3% 14% 32% 34% 14% 2%
92 GRULICH Rayaana 1% 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% -
93 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - 5% 23% 41% 25% 6% -
94 KANDADAI Lara - 6% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
95 FERNANDEZ Martina - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
96 LOO Kaitlyn 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
96 YOUNG Audrey 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
96 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12% 1%
99 SO Catelyn - - 2% 11% 34% 39% 13%
100 FENG Alicia G. - 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
101 TREACY Aisling 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
102 LUKER Sophia - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
103 DANTULURI Shalini 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
103 JIANG Mu Jia (Michelle) 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
105 FANG Sophie 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
106 WANG Gloria - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
107 WILSON Eva 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
108 GRAFF Sophie 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
109 FLATT Sophia 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
110 SHINCHUK Ellisha 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
111 PABIAN Emilia 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
112 DANG Kelia - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
113 WEI JoyAnn - 1% 14% 37% 34% 13% 1%
114 YANG Lea - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
115 ARNOLD Hali 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
116 WANG Zidan 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
117 TAN Adelyn 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
118 BERMAN greta - 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
119 RAMIREZ Mirka A. - 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
120 BROCK Sydney 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
121 ZOLLER Noelle - 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
121 DAI Olivia 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
123 XIE Nora 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
124 SPEARS Mya B - 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
125 CANSECO Carly 2% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
126 NEUMAN Ella 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% -
127 BOYNTON Ainsley 6% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
128 BAWA Anahat 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
129 CHAN Jolene 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
130 DUDNICK Morgan 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
131 DIECK Miranda P. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
132 TUNG Renee 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
133 CHIANG Melissa 2% 14% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
134 CAO Sophie 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
135 JEFFORDS Sophia 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
135 PYO Penelope E. 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
137 GOURNEAU Sophie L. 17% 46% 30% 7% 1% - -
138 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
139 MANKOVA Varvara 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
140 KIM Elyssa 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
141 DONDERIS Katherine 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
142 ZHOU Ziling 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
143 NAYAK Esha 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
144 SAWANT Asmi 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
145 HOLMES Sabrina 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
146 KHOST Maeve 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
147 ZARETSKY Arielle 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% -
148 ZHAO Emily W. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
149 BUHAY Kirsten M. 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
150 TAN Kylie 14% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
151 CHAVAN Arya 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
152 NAYAK Indra 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
153 ELNATAN Mica A. 21% 45% 26% 7% 1% - -
154 LAGOON Miriam 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
155 SCHOEW Margot 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
156 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 54% 38% 8% 1% - - -
157 REGANTI Sitara 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
158 BROWNER June 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
159 BAVIPATI smira 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
159 WILSON Sophie 39% 47% 12% 1% - - -
161 CHAN Kayla 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
162 CHOW Caitlyn 34% 50% 15% 1% - - -
163 LEE Lauren 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
164 BUCKHOUSE Talia 5% 35% 39% 17% 3% - -
165 NAYAK Anika 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
166 COLBY Mercer 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
167 NEWMARK Ellie 40% 47% 12% 1% - - -
168 ERBSEN Sarah 67% 29% 4% - - - -
169 GOMES Diana C. 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
170 BUSH Bethany 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
171 SRINATH Lyra A. 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
172 SYED Azra 63% 31% 6% - - - -
172 IYER Arushi 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% - -
174 CHANG Julia 34% 51% 13% 1% - - -
175 PADANILAM Lily 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
176 SCARDELLO Ashley 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
176 WAY Samantha 13% 44% 32% 9% 1% - -
176 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 89% 11% 1% - - - -
176 ROUIS Nina 92% 8% - - - - -
180 LIN Lauren 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
181 SCHNELL Cassandra 12% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
182 NGUYEN T. Alexis 53% 38% 9% 1% - - -
182 SINGER Ellery 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.