Junior Olympics

Cadet Women's Saber

Monday, February 20, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
2 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
3 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
6 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
7 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
8 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
9 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
10 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
11 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
12 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
13 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
14 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
15 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
16 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
17 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
18 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
19 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
20 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
21 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
22 CHANG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
23 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
24 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
25 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
26 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
27 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
28 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
29 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
30 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
31 XU Emily T. 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
32 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
33 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
34 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
35 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
36 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
37 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
38 HU Michelle 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
39 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
40 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
41 FAVO Isabella 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 3% -
42 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
43 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
44 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 5%
44 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
46 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
47 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 9%
48 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% -
49 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
50 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
51 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
52 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
53 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
53 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 9%
55 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
56 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
57 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
58 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
59 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
60 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
61 SCOTT Eve 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
61 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
63 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 94% 58% 19% 3% - -
64 YAO Rainie 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
65 HITOMI Nadya 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
66 CHO Michelle 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
67 LAURI Keira 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
68 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
69 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
70 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 3%
71 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 4%
72 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
73 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
74 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 8%
75 YAM Danika 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
75 FAN Grace 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
77 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 99% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
78 FREEMAN Armine 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
79 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
80 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
81 LIN Nicole 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
82 LIU Sydney 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
83 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 91% 60% 24% 4% -
84 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
85 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
86 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
87 TONG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
88 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 98% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
88 STONE Coral 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
90 GOLDIN Nina 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
90 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
92 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 99% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
93 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
94 KANDADAI Lara 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
95 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
96 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
96 YOUNG Audrey 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
96 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
99 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
100 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
101 TREACY Aisling 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
102 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
103 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
103 JIANG Mu Jia (Michelle) 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
105 FANG Sophie 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
106 WANG Gloria 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
107 WILSON Eva 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
108 GRAFF Sophie 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
109 FLATT Sophia 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
110 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
111 PABIAN Emilia 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
112 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
113 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1%
114 YANG Lea 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
115 ARNOLD Hali 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
116 WANG Zidan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
117 TAN Adelyn 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
118 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
119 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
120 BROCK Sydney 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
121 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
121 DAI Olivia 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
123 XIE Nora 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
124 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
125 CANSECO Carly 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
126 NEUMAN Ella 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
127 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
128 BAWA Anahat 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
129 CHAN Jolene 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 2%
130 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
131 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
132 TUNG Renee 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
133 CHIANG Melissa 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
134 CAO Sophie 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
135 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
135 PYO Penelope E. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
137 GOURNEAU Sophie L. 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
138 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
139 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
140 KIM Elyssa 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
141 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
142 ZHOU Ziling 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
143 NAYAK Esha 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
144 SAWANT Asmi 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
145 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
146 KHOST Maeve 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
147 ZARETSKY Arielle 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% -
148 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
149 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
150 TAN Kylie 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
151 CHAVAN Arya 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
152 NAYAK Indra 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
153 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% - -
154 LAGOON Miriam 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
155 SCHOEW Margot 100% 97% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
156 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
157 REGANTI Sitara 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
158 BROWNER June 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
159 BAVIPATI smira 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
159 WILSON Sophie 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -
161 CHAN Kayla 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
162 CHOW Caitlyn 100% 66% 16% 2% - - -
163 LEE Lauren 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
164 BUCKHOUSE Talia 100% 95% 60% 21% 4% - -
165 NAYAK Anika 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% - -
166 COLBY Mercer 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
167 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 60% 13% 1% - - -
168 ERBSEN Sarah 100% 33% 5% - - - -
169 GOMES Diana C. 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
170 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
171 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
172 SYED Azra 100% 37% 6% - - - -
172 IYER Arushi 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% - -
174 CHANG Julia 100% 66% 15% 1% - - -
175 PADANILAM Lily 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
176 SCARDELLO Ashley 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
176 WAY Samantha 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% - -
176 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 100% 11% 1% - - - -
176 ROUIS Nina 100% 8% - - - - -
180 LIN Lauren 100% 65% 21% 4% - - -
181 SCHNELL Cassandra 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
182 NGUYEN T. Alexis 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
182 SINGER Ellery 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.