Manchen Friday Night "E & Under" Foil

E & Under Women's Foil

Friday, February 24, 2023 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LAPPER Whitney 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
2 LENZ Zoe 100% 100% 95% 66% 15%
3 BASILE Gianna 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
3 WANG Reese 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 4%
5 DIPAOLO Julia 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
6 LIU Long 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
7 CHEN Sophie 100% 99% 76% 32% 5%
8 LAWRENCE Nia 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% -
9 COMO Gabriella 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% -
10 ZHANG Tiffany 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
11 MARRINAN Eva 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
12 MAJID Inaaya 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
13 HWANG Chanel 100% 99% 81% 38% 6%
14 BIENSTOCK Alexis 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
15 MONTOYA Luz 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
16 CULLEN Alyssa 100% 64% 21% 3% -
17 FRIO Alyson 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
18 WILSON Maya 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
19 HAN Erin 100% 97% 57% 16% 1%
20 WILSON Anna 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
21 DEL VECCHIO Ava 100% 19% 1% - -
22 SABHLOK Simrun 100% 99% 90% 56% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.