Jersey City, NJ - Jersey City, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | IVAKIMOV Vasil | V V V V D V | V V V V V | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 2 | KOLKER Gregory A. | D V V V V | V V V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 3 | BONIN Jr. Christopher J. | D D D V V | V V V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 3 | MACKIN Samuel | V V V D D | V V V V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 5 | WU Joseph | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 6 | KWONG Jason | V V V V D | V V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 7 | ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman | D V D V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 8 | HU Matthew | V V V D D | V V V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 9 | STALL-RYAN Jonathan | V D V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 10 | LIBSON Tazman | V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 11 | MOYSE Alexander S. | V V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 12 | ATANASIO Joseph | D D V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | PLOTNICHENKO Vsevolod | D V D V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 14 | LI Jeffrey | V V V D D D | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 15 | ALFAIATE Lucas | V D V D D | V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 16 | WANG Eric S | D V D D D V | V V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 17 | NABAVI Matthew R. | V V V V V | D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 18 | SVIBEN Cameron | V V D V V V | D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 19 | ALVANEZ Franki | V V V V V D | D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 20 | BAZURO Andrew | V V V V D V | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 21 | HERMANSON David B. | V V V D V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 22 | HEKMAT Sina R. | D D V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 23 | CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. | V V V V D D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 24 | LIBERT Brian | V D V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 25 | SINGH Laekhram | D V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 26 | TUMIBAY Noah C. | D V D D V V | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 27 | POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. | D V D D V V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 28 | GROSSMAN August | V D D V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 29 | PERSAUD Daivik | D V D V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 30 | PARK Frederick | V V D D D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 31 | KOKENGE Chad | D D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 32 | SCHAPIRO Jacob | D D D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 33 | PIERRO Roger | V D V V V | D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 34 | STEFANOV Michael A. | V V D V D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 35 | TRAN Travis | D D V V V D | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 36 | HE Lawrence | V D D V V D | D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 37 | HILLSTROM Nathan | D D V D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 38 | DOUGLAS Colin F. | V V D D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 39 | PEDERSEN Christopher C. | D D D V V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 40 | MAGDA Daniel | D D D V V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 41 | CHOU Ryan | D D V D V D | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 42 | SUN Jason | V V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 43 | SVIBEN Carson | D D D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 44 | MISHIMA Torata | D D D D V | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 45 | CHERRY Alfred B. | D D V D D | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 46 | BINDAS Odinn A. | D D V D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 47 | MING Isaac | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 48 | GAO Daniel | V D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 49 | REYES Vincent | V D D D D D | D | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| 50 | SUN Jeffery | D D D V D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 51 | BASOK Nikita | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 52 | WHITEHURST JJ | D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.