W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 6%
2 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
5 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
6 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 17% 2%
7 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
8 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21% 2%
9 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
10 HARPER Wesley 100% 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% -
11 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
12 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
13 KASPER Lucia 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5% -
14 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 11%
15 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
16 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% 1%
17 POOLE Katherine 100% 47% 10% 1% < 1% - -
18 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% 1% -
19 JHA Ritika 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
20 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1%
21 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
22 ZIMSKY James 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
23 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4% -
24 LAMBERT Luke 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
25 BURNSIDE Caden 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
26 DUCK Parker 100% 65% 19% 2% - - -
27 JOHNSON Alex 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
28 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
29 CRAIG Morgan 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% - -
30 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
31 CHERRY Samuel 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
31 BRUTON Vinton 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
33 BAILEY Linwood 100% 32% 4% - - - -
34 MUSS Josephine 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.