TFC February Fence-A-Thon

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 26, 2023 at 3:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HEDGES Philip S. - - - 1% 12% 88%
2 LUH Ethan K. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
3 WINTZ Paul K. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 30%
3 MING Nathan - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
5 SUORSA Markus - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
6 AHMED Saheer - 3% 19% 44% 32% 2%
7 COHEN Benjamin A. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
8 MARIANI Lou - - 7% 27% 43% 23%
9 MADRID Maureen 44% 42% 13% 1% < 1% -
10 WATT Darren - 3% 23% 41% 27% 6%
11 KELLEY Thomas (TJ) J. 1% 8% 35% 41% 15% 1%
12 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
13 WANG Xu-Chen 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
14 QUIROGA Kyle 16% 49% 28% 6% 1% -
15 LI Yunji 5% 42% 38% 13% 2% - -
16 KOERBER Christopher T. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
17 CHENG Zijun 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
18 LUCASEY Charles (Chuck) J. - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
19 NIKIFOROV Timofei 32% 47% 18% 3% - -
20 LIPTON Michael D. - 7% 33% 43% 16% -
20 XU Yanwen 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
22 NGUYEN Peyton 1% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
23 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. - 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
24 ZHANG Helen 16% 51% 27% 5% - - -
25 SIMONI James (Jim) V. 37% 50% 12% 1% - -
26 SHARMA Ananya 18% 54% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.