TFC February Fence-A-Thon

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 26, 2023 at 3:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HEDGES Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
3 WINTZ Paul K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
3 MING Nathan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
5 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
6 AHMED Saheer 100% 100% 97% 78% 34% 2%
7 COHEN Benjamin A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
8 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 23%
9 MADRID Maureen 100% 56% 14% 1% < 1% -
10 WATT Darren 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
11 KELLEY Thomas (TJ) J. 100% 99% 91% 56% 15% 1%
12 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 22% 3%
13 WANG Xu-Chen 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
14 QUIROGA Kyle 100% 84% 35% 7% 1% -
15 LI Yunji 100% 95% 53% 16% 2% - -
16 KOERBER Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
17 CHENG Zijun 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
18 LUCASEY Charles (Chuck) J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
19 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 68% 21% 3% - -
20 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 100% 93% 60% 17% -
20 XU Yanwen 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
22 NGUYEN Peyton 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 4% -
23 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
24 ZHANG Helen 100% 84% 33% 5% - - -
25 SIMONI James (Jim) V. 100% 63% 13% 1% - -
26 SHARMA Ananya 100% 82% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.