March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - - - 1% 13% 86%
2 LEE REGINA - - - - - 9% 90%
3 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - - - - 4% 28% 67%
3 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - - - - 6% 35% 59%
5 YILMAZ Pinar - - - - 3% 24% 73%
6 PROFIS Liora - - - 1% 8% 33% 58%
7 GUO Luxi - - - - 5% 30% 64%
8 QI Julieanne - 1% 4% 17% 35% 34% 10%
9 SUN Zeyu - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
10 LI Alice - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
11 LIN Ariel - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
12 LEE Camilla - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
13 IYER Ishana - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
14 NEELAM Navya - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
15 GANSER Nicole - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
16 JEYOON Lauren 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
17 JORDAN Zoe - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
18 LIN Laura - 1% 12% 40% 42% 5%
18 XU Serena - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
20 BOROTKO Katerina - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
21 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
22 LISCUM Vivian - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
23 JIANG Serena - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
24 SCHMITT Harper - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
25 WANG Victoria - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
26 WANG Jessie - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
27 MARTINEZ Christina - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
28 BEAVER Ava - - - 1% 18% 80%
29 FRANGER Macy - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
30 ABUELFUTUH Sama - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
31 KROPP Anne 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
32 MA Sophie - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
33 LEE Gloria - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
34 MCQUEEN Morgan - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
35 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
36 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
36 STERN Savannah - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
38 VOSKOV Olivia 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
39 WORKNEH Lulit 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
41 KANASKAR Ila - 6% 25% 43% 26%
42 CHEN Alina - 2% 13% 37% 37% 12% -
43 ELTERMAN Kate 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
44 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
45 YU Eva - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
46 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
47 TISMENSKY Abigail 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
48 DHAIYA Tanya 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
49 BEATIE Isabella M. - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
50 WANG Cecilia 4% 23% 39% 27% 6%
51 WONG Sydney 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
52 LEE Yeriel - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
53 HALE Avery - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
54 BI Michelle 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
55 KANG Yenna - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% -
56 CHERNIS Liah - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 3%
57 WU Madisen - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 1%
58 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
59 TISMENSKY Avital 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
60 ZHU Riley 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
61 RAMEY Alexa 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
62 FLITMAN Gabrielle 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
63 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
64 OLUYOLE Isabella 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
65 RICHARDSON Gianna - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16% -
66 PETROFF Eva - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
67 WANG Aria - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
68 WU Jessica - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 3%
69 RADOV Una 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
70 SHIBLEY Micaela 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
71 DU Andria 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
72 HE Anna - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
73 MCCREIGHT Elena 2% 17% 38% 33% 10%
74 PEI Claire 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
75 DESAI Eesha 2% 16% 42% 32% 8% -
76 VALDEZ Emma 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
77 ZHAO Yanning - 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
78 HLYNKA Marta - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25% 1%
79 ADYANTHAYA Anika 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
80 PARK elli 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
81 FUNG Karina - 4% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
82 KANDALA Aanya - 3% 18% 39% 29% 9% 1%
83 CARCELLER Bernardita 1% 7% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
84 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
85 XU Jessica - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
86 SUN Karolyn 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
87 WEI Sherry 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
88 YANG Angela 36% 48% 14% 1% - -
89 LEE Kate 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
90 TAM Connie - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
91 STEMPKOVSKA Dina 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
91 NGUYEN Renee 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
93 HARMON Nikkole 2% 17% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
94 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
95 VIOLETTE Lih-Ann 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
96 LIANG Angela 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
96 XU Chenyu - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
98 ZHONG Evelyn 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
99 XIAO Katelyn 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% - -
100 MENKIN Kate 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
101 LEE Kaitlyn 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
102 ANDRUS Allie 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
103 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
104 MIYOSHI Kylie 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
105 FISCHBEIN Quinley 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
106 BUNCH Halle 24% 44% 25% 5% 1% - -
107 BURKS Madison 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
108 CHEN Julia Z. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
109 KAMALDEV Anya 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
110 GAN Shelby 8% 31% 38% 19% 3%
111 KELLEY Elise - 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
112 ARULKUMAR Lashia 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
113 AWALEGAONKAR Saina - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
114 OLELE Ifechi 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
115 CHU Anabelle 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
116 KANE Alexa - 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1%
117 ALLIEVI Simone 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
118 YU Chloe 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
119 MOSHKOV Sophia 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
120 KELLEY Kelleah 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
121 FU Shannon 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
122 JIANG chenxi 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
123 ZHANG Jane 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
124 OLSON Olivia 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
125 HOLDEN Helena 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
126 YOUSSEF Margaret 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
127 LEE Adelynn 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
128 YU Xintong 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
129 WANG Nicole - 5% 29% 46% 19% 1%
130 MUZAFAROVA Sofiya 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
131 BABCOCK Alana 14% 44% 33% 8% 1% - -
132 HUANG Selina 11% 40% 35% 13% 2% - -
133 DWIGGINS Reese - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
133 CAYETANO Audrey 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
135 ELLMER Ava 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
136 VIJAY Vaishnavi 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
137 MIAO Anthea 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% - -
138 BUNCH Helena 49% 41% 9% 1% - - -
139 HALE Reagan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
140 REN Ivanka 3% 23% 43% 25% 6% - -
141 MISHIMA Olivia 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
142 ZOGRAFOS Marina 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
143 SUN Milly 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
144 HAN Rita Yaya 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
145 CHEN Stephanie 32% 43% 20% 4% -
146 TURNER Reagan 31% 49% 18% 2% - -
147 MAI Blair 69% 27% 4% - - -
148 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.