March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
3 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
5 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
7 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
8 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 10%
9 SUN Zeyu 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
10 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
11 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
12 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
13 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
14 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
15 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
16 JEYOON Lauren 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
17 JORDAN Zoe 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
18 LIN Laura 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 5%
18 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
20 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
21 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
22 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
23 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
24 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
25 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
26 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
27 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
28 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
29 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
30 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
31 KROPP Anne 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
32 MA Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
33 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
34 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
35 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
36 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
36 STERN Savannah 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
38 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
39 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
41 KANASKAR Ila 100% 100% 93% 68% 26%
42 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12% -
43 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
44 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
45 YU Eva 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
46 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
47 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% -
48 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
49 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
50 WANG Cecilia 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
51 WONG Sydney 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
52 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
53 HALE Avery 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
54 BI Michelle 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
55 KANG Yenna 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% -
56 CHERNIS Liah 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 27% 3%
57 WU Madisen 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
58 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
59 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
60 ZHU Riley 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
61 RAMEY Alexa 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
62 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
63 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
64 OLUYOLE Isabella 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
65 RICHARDSON Gianna 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% -
66 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
67 WANG Aria 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
68 WU Jessica 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
69 RADOV Una 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
70 SHIBLEY Micaela 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
71 DU Andria 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
72 HE Anna 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
73 MCCREIGHT Elena 100% 98% 80% 43% 10%
74 PEI Claire 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
75 DESAI Eesha 100% 98% 82% 40% 8% -
76 VALDEZ Emma 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
77 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
78 HLYNKA Marta 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 1%
79 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
80 PARK elli 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
81 FUNG Karina 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
82 KANDALA Aanya 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 10% 1%
83 CARCELLER Bernardita 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
84 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
85 XU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
86 SUN Karolyn 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
87 WEI Sherry 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
88 YANG Angela 100% 64% 16% 2% - -
89 LEE Kate 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
90 TAM Connie 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
91 STEMPKOVSKA Dina 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
91 NGUYEN Renee 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
93 HARMON Nikkole 100% 98% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
94 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
95 VIOLETTE Lih-Ann 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
96 LIANG Angela 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
96 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
98 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
99 XIAO Katelyn 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
100 MENKIN Kate 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
101 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -
102 ANDRUS Allie 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
103 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
104 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
105 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
106 BUNCH Halle 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
107 BURKS Madison 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
108 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
109 KAMALDEV Anya 100% 95% 63% 24% 4% -
110 GAN Shelby 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
111 KELLEY Elise 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
112 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
113 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
114 OLELE Ifechi 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
115 CHU Anabelle 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
116 KANE Alexa 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% 1%
117 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
118 YU Chloe 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
119 MOSHKOV Sophia 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
120 KELLEY Kelleah 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
121 FU Shannon 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
122 JIANG chenxi 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
123 ZHANG Jane 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
124 OLSON Olivia 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
125 HOLDEN Helena 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
126 YOUSSEF Margaret 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
127 LEE Adelynn 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
128 YU Xintong 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
129 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 95% 66% 21% 1%
130 MUZAFAROVA Sofiya 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
131 BABCOCK Alana 100% 86% 42% 9% 1% - -
132 HUANG Selina 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
133 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
133 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
135 ELLMER Ava 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
136 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
137 MIAO Anthea 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
138 BUNCH Helena 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
139 HALE Reagan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
140 REN Ivanka 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% - -
141 MISHIMA Olivia 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
142 ZOGRAFOS Marina 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
143 SUN Milly 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
144 HAN Rita Yaya 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
145 CHEN Stephanie 100% 68% 25% 4% -
146 TURNER Reagan 100% 69% 21% 2% - -
147 MAI Blair 100% 31% 4% - - -
148 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.