American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 MOLHO Sofia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
3 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
3 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
5 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23%
6 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
7 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
8 KELLY Katherine E. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
9 LEVI Lea 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
10 PO Edith 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
11 NARANG Maya 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
12 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
13 SEGAL Lydia G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8%
14 HOLLE Aviella S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
15 CHEN Georgia M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
16 SAXENA Sejal 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
17 LI Meilin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
18 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
19 JONES LONGENBACH Melanie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
20 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
21 BECKER Elena 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
22 DU Hannah 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
23 LEE Bethany W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 22%
24 WILSON Anna S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
25 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
26 CHO Lorin Y. 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
27 HEISER Anna M. 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
28 ZIMBALIST Lila 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
29 SUTHERLAND Michelle J. 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% - -
30 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
31 WERBACH Esther 100% 95% 65% 22% 3% - -
32 LEE Montana 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
33 LEE Alyssa W. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
34 YEUNG Yulia 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
35 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 83% 40% 8% 1% - -
36 ADLER Alexandra 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
37 ZAVALA-ARBELAEZ Ivanna 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
38 NITTI Rebecca 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
39 NICOU Melina 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
40 ROCCA Mary J. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
41 CHEN Jasmine 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
42 ZHEN Ellen 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
43 RAI Ananya 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
43 GILHULEY Catie 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% - -
45 CLEVENGER Estella 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
46 SILVER Anna 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
47 VAYNBERG Ellen 100% 94% 58% 18% 3% - -
49 SLOAN Emma F. 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.