MFA Y10, Y14, and Senior foil - unrated fencers

Unrated Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETERSON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 3%
2 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
3 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
3 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
5 BECKER Ethan 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
6 SCHILLER Finnegan 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
7 ZANDER Maxx 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
8 WALD Ezekiel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
9 LEHMAN Jackie V. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
10 KAISER Lucas 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
11 TALAROC Janeen 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% - -
12 TONG Andrew 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
13 DIGGS Corina 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
14 BROWN-LEWIN Noah 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.