Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
2 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 SCOTT Eve 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
5 SPRINGER Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 7%
6 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
7 SHI Julia 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 3%
8 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
10 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
11 FAN Grace 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
12 KANDADAI Lara 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2%
13 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
14 BUSH Bethany 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
15 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
16 YOUNG Audrey 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1%
17 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
18 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
19 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
20 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
21 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
22 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
23 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
24 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
25 LIU Moran 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
26 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12%
27 REN Xinling 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
28 NAYAK Esha 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
29 BAWA Anahat 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
30 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
31 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
32 WANG yining 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
33 YEN Natalie 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
34 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
35 NAYAK Anika 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
36 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 95% 59% 18% 2% - -
37 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
38 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
39 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
40 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
41 ZHAN Sophie 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
42 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 100% 99% 85% 42% 10% 1% -
43 CONNOLLY Vida 100% 99% 87% 52% 13% 1% -
44 LI Alexis 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
45 FLATT Sophia 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
46 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
47 ZHENG Sophia 100% 87% 41% 9% 1% -
48 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
49 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
50 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 83% 30% 4% - - -
51 TU Sadie 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
52 KHOST Maeve 100% 97% 74% 31% 5% - -
53 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
54 HU Anna 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
54 NAYAK Antara 100% 41% 6% - - -
56 MORGAN Lily 100% 33% 5% - - - -
57 DUBE Naomi 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
58 KHERA Anya 100% 36% 4% - - - -
58 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.