Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 FERRARA Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 10%
3 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 22%
5 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
6 YEN Preston 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 LAU Justin Y. 100% 100% 95% 60% 18% 2% -
8 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
9 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
11 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
12 JONES Graham H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
13 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
14 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
15 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
16 MOL Spencer 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37% 6%
17 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
18 LIN Felix 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
19 ZHOU James Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
20 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 2%
21 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
22 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
23 MOORE Evan M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 1%
24 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31% 4%
25 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
26 MOL Justin 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
27 WALKE Devin 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
28 CHENG Brandon 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
29 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% - -
30 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 100% 91% 58% 16% 1%
31 KLEBS Robert 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
32 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
33 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
34 CLARK Keagan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
35 LE Brandon 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
36 LYON Drew 100% 100% 97% 71% 26% 4% -
37 REHM Liam 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% - -
38 JENSBY Jason 100% 99% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
39 XU Ivan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
40 PAN Henry 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
41 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 8%
42 BAKER Keith L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
43 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 98% 82% 44% 10% 1% -
44 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
45 HUFF Clayton R. 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 4% -
46 KEEFER Philip E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
47 FARAON Paulus 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
48 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
49 BHATIA Ekam 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
50 MOLDABEK-MACHADO Aron 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
51 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 92% 49% 13% 2% - -
52 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% - -
53 COHEN Charlie 100% 86% 23% 2% - - -
54 AKST Elliot 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
55 GORDON Jonathan 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
56 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% - -
57 SHU Richard 100% 30% 3% - - - -
58 AMES Kylan 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1% -
58 BAKIAN Tristan 100% 71% 27% 4% - - -
58 LESHIN Taran 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
61 PARCELL Colby 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
62 KENNEDY Aidan 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
63 CHOHAN Jibreel 100% 23% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.