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Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. - - - - 2% 21% 76%
2 JOHNSON Langston C. - - - - 6% 33% 60%
3 FERRARA Nicholas S. - - - 6% 32% 51% 10%
3 CORTEZ Christopher - - - 4% 26% 48% 22%
5 WONG Tzer - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
6 YEN Preston - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
7 LAU Justin Y. - 5% 35% 42% 16% 2% -
8 THORNHILL Kwasi - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
9 FERRARO Pietro - - - - 6% 33% 60%
11 FENKER William M. - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
12 JONES Graham H. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
13 SHANKAR Karthik 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
14 GAUVEY Kieran 1% 13% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
15 HOTHA Nikhil - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
16 MOL Spencer - - 2% 17% 44% 31% 6%
17 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
18 LIN Felix 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
19 ZHOU James Y. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
20 BOUKHTIN Maxim - 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 2%
21 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
22 PATEL Rayn - - 1% 11% 38% 41% 9%
23 MOORE Evan M. - 1% 9% 31% 40% 18% 1%
24 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - 3% 20% 45% 28% 4%
25 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
26 MOL Justin 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
27 WALKE Devin 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
28 CHENG Brandon 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
29 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 4% 25% 42% 25% 4% - -
30 SUORSA Markus - - 9% 33% 42% 15% 1%
31 KLEBS Robert 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
32 DECK Tyson - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
33 MAUREL Nicolas - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
34 CLARK Keagan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
35 LE Brandon 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
36 LYON Drew - 3% 26% 45% 23% 3% -
37 REHM Liam 11% 36% 38% 13% 2% - -
38 JENSBY Jason 1% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
39 XU Ivan 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
40 PAN Henry - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
41 WEBER Mattias A. - - 2% 14% 37% 39% 8%
42 BAKER Keith L. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
43 WEINSTEIN Nate 2% 16% 38% 34% 9% 1% -
44 YAN William - 2% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
45 HUFF Clayton R. 1% 7% 26% 42% 21% 4% -
46 KEEFER Philip E. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 17%
47 FARAON Paulus 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
48 MILLS Matthew P. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
49 BHATIA Ekam 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
50 MOLDABEK-MACHADO Aron 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
51 LICHTERMAN Jakub 8% 43% 36% 11% 1% - -
52 STRUCKER Rocco 14% 40% 34% 10% 1% - -
53 COHEN Charlie 14% 64% 20% 2% - - -
54 AKST Elliot 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
55 GORDON Jonathan 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
56 SZULIM Lucjan 11% 38% 37% 13% 1% - -
57 SHU Richard 70% 27% 3% - - - -
58 AMES Kylan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
58 BAKIAN Tristan 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
58 LESHIN Taran 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
61 PARCELL Colby 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
62 KENNEDY Aidan 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
63 CHOHAN Jibreel 77% 22% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.