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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Jessie - - - 3% 16% 43% 37%
2 WANG Victoria - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 GUO Luxi - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
3 IYER Ishana - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
5 LIN Ariel - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
6 KANE Chloe - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
7 LI Azalea - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 15%
8 ABUELFUTUH Sama - - 2% 17% 50% 31%
9 LEE Camilla - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
10 JIANG Serena - - 2% 16% 46% 35%
11 HANKINS Morgan - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
12 HLYNKA Marta 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
13 HE Anna 1% 12% 38% 36% 11% 1%
14 LIN Isabel - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
15 LI Yunxuan - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
16 DWIGGINS Reese 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
17 XU Serena - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
18 MASSARO Ava - 1% 8% 24% 36% 26% 6%
19 LEE Yeriel - 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
20 GALLUP Elise 2% 17% 37% 32% 12% 1%
21 XU Jessica 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
22 YUNG Bethany 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
23 SUN Karolyn - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
24 HU Chenxi - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
25 ZHAO Emma 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
26 WANG Aria 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
26 WU Jessica - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
28 RICHARDSON Gianna - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 2%
29 PARK elli 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
30 ZHAO Yanning - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
31 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
32 FU Shannon 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
33 ZHAO Ellie 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
34 YOUSSEF Margaret 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
35 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
36 TIEN Shaylin 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
37 YU Xintong 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
38 LEE Brooklyn 23% 45% 26% 5% - -
39 MIAO Anthea 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
40 MENDOZA TALAMANTES Lia 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
41 NGUYEN Renee 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
42 BURKS Madison 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
43 CHEN Julia Z. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
44 UEMURA Lyllia 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
45 KARTHIK Diya 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
46 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
47 REN Ivanka 30% 46% 20% 3% - -
48 MAENG Gloria 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
49 WU Aineo 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
50 POZAS Vida 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
51 LI Wan-Tao 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
52 SUN Milly 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
53 LI Chloe 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
54 KUO Lydia 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
55 CHENG Yiwen 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
56 HILL Saskia 3% 20% 41% 30% 6% -
57 MANDAP Alessandra 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
58 CHEN Stephanie 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
59 KAWAR Hazel 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.