Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
2 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
6 KANE Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
7 LI Azalea 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
8 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
9 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
10 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
11 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
12 HLYNKA Marta 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
13 HE Anna 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% 1%
14 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
15 LI Yunxuan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
16 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
17 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
18 MASSARO Ava 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
19 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
20 GALLUP Elise 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
21 XU Jessica 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
22 YUNG Bethany 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
23 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
24 HU Chenxi 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
25 ZHAO Emma 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
26 WANG Aria 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
26 WU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
28 RICHARDSON Gianna 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
29 PARK elli 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
30 ZHAO Yanning 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
31 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
32 FU Shannon 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 2%
33 ZHAO Ellie 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
34 YOUSSEF Margaret 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
35 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
36 TIEN Shaylin 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
37 YU Xintong 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
38 LEE Brooklyn 100% 77% 31% 6% - -
39 MIAO Anthea 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
40 MENDOZA TALAMANTES Lia 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
41 NGUYEN Renee 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
42 BURKS Madison 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
43 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
44 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
45 KARTHIK Diya 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
46 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
47 REN Ivanka 100% 70% 23% 3% - -
48 MAENG Gloria 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
49 WU Aineo 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
50 POZAS Vida 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
51 LI Wan-Tao 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
52 SUN Milly 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
53 LI Chloe 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
54 KUO Lydia 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
55 CHENG Yiwen 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
56 HILL Saskia 100% 97% 77% 37% 6% -
57 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
58 CHEN Stephanie 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
59 KAWAR Hazel 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.