George Mason University Patriot Open 2023

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 3:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIHLSTROM Richie 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
2 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
3 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
3 COLBY Mercer 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% < 1%
5 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 8%
6 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
7 CATLETT III Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
8 ROSE Colin 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
9 JOHNSON Waldron 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
10 PHAM Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
11 BENSON Jacob 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
12 TRAYNOR Jake 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
13 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
14 ROORDA Easton 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
15 SULLIVAN Anna 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
16 TRUONG Oliver 100% 97% 70% 27% 4% - -
17 FRECK Erin 100% 93% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
18 PAGAN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
19 TAJUDDIN Sarina 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
20 BUNCHER Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
21 OLMEN Kelsey 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
22 MARTIN Audrey 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
23 BARR Corinne 100% 63% 18% 3% - - -
24 BEAUMONT Peyton 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
25 KIM Isaac 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
26 URIBE David 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
27 PETERS Ella 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
28 LESTYAN Cat 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.