George Mason University Patriot Open 2023

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 12:30 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WALLACE George 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
2 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14% 1%
3 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
5 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
6 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
7 CHHU Allen 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
8 CHOO Christopher Y. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
9 LEE Benjamin 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% -
10 TANG Justin 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
11 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
12 CHUNG Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
13 NIEMI Otto 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
14 EVANS George 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
15 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 98% 58% 17% 2% -
16 KANG Junwoo 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
18 GREEAR Colin 100% 99% 89% 53% 10% 1%
19 BAIRD Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
20 DIAZ Brenna 100% 99% 71% 29% 6% -
21 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 100% 95% 64% 23% 3%
22 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
23 HECHT Chance 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
24 ROGERS Mark 100% 100% 96% 73% 28% 3%
25 KULKARNI Mihir 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
26 LUNDEN Espen 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
27 VADDE Pranav 100% 97% 77% 36% 9% 1%
28 LAZURAN Daniel 100% 96% 62% 21% 3% -
29 PARLETT Jennifer 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
30 WACK Logan 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
31 SAMPAIO Beatriz 100% 34% 5% - - -
32 WALLS Annie 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
33 MARTIN Audrey 100% 35% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.