American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
3 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
5 RAMPAZZO Luca 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 4%
6 REN Junming 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
8 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
9 SMITH David C. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
10 GANTA Vijay 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
11 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
12 YEN Darren 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
13 ZU Kevin 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4% -
14 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
15 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
16 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
17 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
18 WUN William 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
19 RAI Avin 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
20 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
21 QUAN Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
22 WU Mengke 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
23 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
24 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
25 LIU Kelly 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
26 YEN Preston 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
27 CZAHA Balint 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
28 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
29 LIN William 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
30 LEE Jude H. 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
31 TALAAT Mohamed 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
32 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
33 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
34 QIU Le 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
35 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
36 NG Jonathan H. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
37 NATANOV David I. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
38 HUANG Eric 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
39 ZHOU Miles 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
40 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
41 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
42 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
43 TANG Brendan J. 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
44 MESHKOV Peter A. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
45 CHAN Matthew 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
46 MILGRAM Nathan A. 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
47 FISK Ethan 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
48 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 8% 1%
49 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
50 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
51 XU Michael 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.