American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Salma - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
2 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
3 LU Junyao - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
3 SAM Kayli 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
5 GOLDEN Danielle 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
6 DESAI Meera P. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
7 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 11%
8 SMUK Daria A. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
9 GU Sarah - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
10 GUMAGAY Erika L. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
11 SAAL Anna - 1% 5% 21% 40% 27% 6%
12 PAN Michelle - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
13 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
14 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
15 ROWLAND May 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
16 OAKE Erica 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
17 BROWN Amanda - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
18 WU Fan - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
19 HODGES Grace A. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
20 DE JAGER Celine - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
21 CORDERO Allison 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
22 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
23 HUH Anna - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
24 YAO Jillian - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
25 BRANDWEIN Elizabeth 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
26 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
27 YANG Chloe - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
28 BYRON Karen J. 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
29 FAZZINI Angelina 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
30 SINGH Aayushi 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
31 BOOK Ayelet 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
32 GERTISER Amalie (Amy) C. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
33 HONG Elaine - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
34 GUZZI Jordan 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
35 CHANG Ella - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
36 BOWIE Charlotta 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
37 MCGEE Sophia - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
38 XU Jessica 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
39 LI Allison 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
40 RICHARDS Caitlin A. 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
41 GAO Judy - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
42 AVERBACH Margaret 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
43 MOK Chloe R. 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
44 ZENG Katrina 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
45 SCHMULTS Sophie W. 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
46 ZEHE Michele A. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
47 APPLEBEE Andralyn 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
48 RIOS Donna B. 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
49 GOLDBERG Sophie C. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
50 HARJANI Meher 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
51 LI Alisha 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
52 GANGEMI Julia 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
53 CANNEY Lauren 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
54 HOSANAGAR Inchara 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
55 INAMDAR Nina S. 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
56 WALSH Katherine 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
57 WILKINSON Heather E. 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
58 DELGADO Diane 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
59 MURRELL Jessica L. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
60 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
60 PAN Iris 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.