American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Salma 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
2 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
3 LU Junyao 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
3 SAM Kayli 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
5 GOLDEN Danielle 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
6 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
7 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
8 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
9 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
10 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
11 SAAL Anna 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 33% 6%
12 PAN Michelle 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
13 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1% -
14 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
15 ROWLAND May 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
16 OAKE Erica 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
17 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
18 WU Fan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
19 HODGES Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
20 DE JAGER Celine 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
21 CORDERO Allison 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
22 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
23 HUH Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
24 YAO Jillian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
25 BRANDWEIN Elizabeth 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
26 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
27 YANG Chloe 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
28 BYRON Karen J. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
29 FAZZINI Angelina 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
30 SINGH Aayushi 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
31 BOOK Ayelet 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
32 GERTISER Amalie (Amy) C. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
33 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
34 GUZZI Jordan 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
35 CHANG Ella 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
36 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
37 MCGEE Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
38 XU Jessica 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
39 LI Allison 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
40 RICHARDS Caitlin A. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
41 GAO Judy 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
42 AVERBACH Margaret 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
43 MOK Chloe R. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
44 ZENG Katrina 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
45 SCHMULTS Sophie W. 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1%
46 ZEHE Michele A. 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1% -
47 APPLEBEE Andralyn 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
48 RIOS Donna B. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
49 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
50 HARJANI Meher 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
51 LI Alisha 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
52 GANGEMI Julia 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
53 CANNEY Lauren 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
54 HOSANAGAR Inchara 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
55 INAMDAR Nina S. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
56 WALSH Katherine 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
57 WILKINSON Heather E. 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
58 DELGADO Diane 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
59 MURRELL Jessica L. 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
60 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
60 PAN Iris 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.