American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
2 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
3 MANGE Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
5 LE Vyn A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
6 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
7 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
8 AHN Jun 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
9 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
10 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
11 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
12 OLSON Stephen J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
13 KULKARNI Ansh A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
14 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7%
15 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
16 KAZA Nitish 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
17 SHIKHMAN Robert 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
17 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 22%
19 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
20 WEINKOPF William O. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
21 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
22 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
23 MOHAMMAD Abdulwahab 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
24 MACRAE Harrison A. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
25 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
26 JOHNSON Cooper A. 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
27 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
28 BICKFORD Michael S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
29 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
30 BRYANT Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
31 VERSTEELE Sander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
32 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
33 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
34 WANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
35 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% 1%
36 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
37 HOWARD Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
38 DENYSE Jameson 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
39 HAN Lawrence 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 8%
40 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
41 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29% 4%
42 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
43 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
44 CAI Oliver K. 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
45 ZHAO Jesse 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
46 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
47 GRAHAM Aleko 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
48 WALOR Owen T. 100% 99% 90% 53% 16% 2%
49 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
50 MCCAULEY Samuel R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
51 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
52 ORR Aidan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
53 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
54 WERWA Griffith 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
55 SKINNER Matthew D. 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
56 SELL Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 10%
57 PRIETO Julian 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
58 YOON Eugene H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
59 DAUM Charlie 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
60 HONG Issac 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
61 MUNDAHL Morgan K. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
62 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
63 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
64 EIG Ethan A. 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% - -
65 ENGEL Henry R. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
66 SHADPOOR Ryan 100% 97% 67% 25% 4% - -
67 STRAYER Andrew 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
68 GARR James D. 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
69 GEORGE Michael 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
70 BRINTON III Robert H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
71 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 94% 63% 22% 4% -
72 MAGIDSON Josh 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
73 DRESSEL Jet 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
74 QI Steve 100% 99% 84% 44% 10% 1% -
75 MUNDAHL Brandon D. 100% 92% 67% 34% 11% 2% -
76 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
77 MAYER Richard 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
78 BERGER Cameron D. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
79 AMRANI David 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
80 BAO Wenyuan 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% - -
81 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 11% 1%
81 KEANNA Peter 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
83 ANTONIO Marcky C. 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
84 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 83% 36% 8% 1% -
85 SCHROCK Michael 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
86 KIZHNER Fillip 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
87 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
88 SONG Bryan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
88 ECK Nathaniel 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
90 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
91 GORDON Alexander (Sasha) 100% 99% 82% 40% 8% 1% -
92 CHOI-SLATTERY Kieran M. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
93 NITTEL Jake 100% 96% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
93 DEMARCO Matthew 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
95 GUO Sean 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
96 LEVINE-RITTERMAN Joshua 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
97 TRUBETSKI David 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
98 JUSTUS Benjamin 100% 28% 3% - - - -
99 CHEUNG Kevin 100% 23% 2% - - - -
100 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
101 ARANA Massimo 100% 82% 41% 9% 1% - -
102 SCHALES Peyton 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
102 CAPUTO John 100% 41% 7% - - - -
104 CRANS Benjamin 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
105 XU Mathu Yang 100% 58% 14% 1% - -
106 JONES Taajuddin 100% 43% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.