Fortune Fencing ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
3 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
5 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
6 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 YU Anders 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
8 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
9 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
10 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
11 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 10%
12 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
13 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
14 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% -
15 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
16 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
17 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
18 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
19 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
20 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
21 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
21 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
23 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
24 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
25 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
26 GOBBO Alexander 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
27 NGUYEN Martin 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
28 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
29 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
30 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
31 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
32 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
33 HUANG Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
34 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% -
35 WOO Christian 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
36 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
37 MA Bryant 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
38 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
39 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
40 LI Jett 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
41 KELLY Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
42 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 4% -
43 GORDON William L. 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
44 LI Avery Peihong 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
45 TAN Christien 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
46 KIM Aiden 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
47 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
48 YEE Johnathan 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
49 WU Lucas 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
50 LLIDO Soren 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
51 REYES Omar 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 2%
51 LI Toby 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
53 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
53 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
55 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
56 BROWN Darius D. 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
56 LI Matthew 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
58 KIM Brian 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% -
59 PARK Sky 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
59 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
61 REICHEL Ezra 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
62 SAH Steven 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
63 PETERSON Lucas 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
64 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
65 SMITH Grant D. 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
66 KISSINGFORD John F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
67 LIU William 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
68 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% - -
69 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
70 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
71 KIM Andy 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
72 DALVA Michael 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.