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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOO Haley B. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 FERRARI Christina M. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
3 JING Emily - - 2% 17% 53% 28%
3 SHEN Sophia H. - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
5 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
6 MOLHO Sofia - 2% 18% 51% 28%
7 LEVI Lea - - 3% 22% 50% 24%
8 KOO Rachel A. - - - 8% 43% 48%
9 SHEN Jasmine N. - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
10 LEE Bethany W. 1% 12% 34% 39% 13% 1%
11 XU Madison 1% 16% 40% 33% 9% 1%
12 SADAN Jordan E. - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
13 YU Jaime L. 7% 33% 44% 15% 1%
14 COSTELLO Angeline S. 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
15 RASO Sofia G. - 1% 11% 45% 43%
16 SERBAN Samantha M. - < 1% 7% 30% 44% 19%
17 HOOSHI Erica S. - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
18 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 1% 9% 33% 42% 16%
19 ZHENG Ivy - - 2% 14% 44% 41%
20 YE Eileen - 2% 17% 41% 32% 8%
21 PEVZNER Victoria - - 1% 12% 43% 43%
22 CHEN Kelly - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
23 HECKMANN Emma - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20% 2%
24 LOW Sharon J. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
25 WU Irene M. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 1%
26 ADAMS KIM Natalie - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
27 DU Hannah 6% 36% 40% 16% 2% -
28 PO Edith - 14% 43% 33% 9% 1%
29 MUELLER Tatum J. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
30 MCKEE Alexandra K. 28% 48% 21% 3% -
31 LI Meilin 1% 12% 37% 37% 12% 1%
32 WERBACH Esther 28% 44% 23% 4% - -
33 ZHAO Aileen Y. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
34 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - 2% 19% 43% 29% 6%
35 WU Julianna Y. 3% 49% 37% 10% 1% -
36 RENTON Samantha - 5% 29% 49% 15% 1%
37 PAVE Claire 4% 40% 43% 12% 1% -
38 ACHILOVA Feyza 1% 12% 44% 34% 9% 1%
39 SU Michelle 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
40 HEISER Anna M. 29% 53% 16% 2% - -
41 HUNT Abigail S. 12% 42% 34% 11% 1% - -
42 BHAN Zala 10% 37% 36% 14% 3% - -
43 LOGAN Jade 29% 47% 21% 3% -
44 ZHANG Alina C. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
44 TANG Ai Jia 2% 29% 48% 19% 2% -
46 NICOU Melina 42% 45% 12% 1% - -
47 MCPHERSON Hannah C. 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
48 BASSON Bayley D. 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
49 GINDE Maithili 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
50 JONES Jenna 66% 29% 4% - - -
51 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 89% 10% - - - -
52 DAUM Sydney 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
53 SIEB Sydney 83% 16% 1% - - -
53 ABREU Ashley 25% 49% 22% 3% - -
55 DOWNER Emma-Li 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.