American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 28%
3 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
5 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
6 MOLHO Sofia 100% 100% 98% 79% 28%
7 LEVI Lea 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 24%
8 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 48%
9 SHEN Jasmine N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
10 LEE Bethany W. 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
11 XU Madison 100% 99% 83% 43% 10% 1%
12 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
13 YU Jaime L. 100% 93% 60% 16% 1%
14 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
15 RASO Sofia G. 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
16 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 19%
17 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
18 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
19 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
20 YE Eileen 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 8%
21 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
22 CHEN Kelly 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
23 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
24 LOW Sharon J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
25 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
26 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
27 DU Hannah 100% 94% 59% 19% 2% -
28 PO Edith 100% 100% 86% 43% 10% 1%
29 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
30 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 72% 24% 3% -
31 LI Meilin 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1%
32 WERBACH Esther 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
33 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
34 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 6%
35 WU Julianna Y. 100% 97% 48% 11% 1% -
36 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 95% 66% 16% 1%
37 PAVE Claire 100% 96% 56% 13% 1% -
38 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 99% 87% 44% 10% 1%
39 SU Michelle 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
40 HEISER Anna M. 100% 71% 18% 2% - -
41 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 88% 46% 12% 2% - -
42 BHAN Zala 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
43 LOGAN Jade 100% 71% 24% 3% -
44 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
44 TANG Ai Jia 100% 98% 69% 22% 2% -
46 NICOU Melina 100% 58% 13% 1% - -
47 MCPHERSON Hannah C. 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
48 BASSON Bayley D. 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
49 GINDE Maithili 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
50 JONES Jenna 100% 34% 5% - - -
51 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 11% - - - -
52 DAUM Sydney 100% 73% 30% 5% - -
53 SIEB Sydney 100% 17% 1% - - -
53 ABREU Ashley 100% 75% 26% 4% - -
55 DOWNER Emma-Li 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.