American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TALAAT Mohamed - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
2 MICHELL Bailey - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 MILGRAM Nathan A. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
3 WU Mengke - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
5 BRAR Sanjeet - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
6 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 15% 3%
7 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
8 YEN Preston - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
9 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
10 TANG Albert - 4% 21% 41% 29% 5%
11 CHAMBERS Amir E. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
12 BERMAN Luca - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
13 LASORSA Matthew - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
14 MARGULIES William 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
15 YUAN Kevin - 3% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1%
16 FISK Ethan 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
17 GILES Jeremy M. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
18 BUKOWSKI Bronson - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
19 TSUNG David 1% 4% 16% 29% 30% 16% 4%
20 HO Kaden M. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
21 GOEBEL Alex J. - - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16%
22 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
23 WOLIN Zachary - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
24 CHON Taylor A. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
25 ZHOU Miles - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
26 XU William - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
27 LEE Jude H. 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
28 HOEY-WASOW Henry 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
29 SPOSATO Andrew P. 3% 22% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
30 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
31 DENG Andrew - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
32 HONG Vincent Q. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
33 CLYMER Lucas Y. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
34 ANGKATAVANICH Owen 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
35 CLAWSON Amzie 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
36 CHENG Kyle 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
37 TOPF Karl B. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
38 DIPIETRO Christopher J. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
39 TISHININ Alexander D. 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
40 PANDEY Neil 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
41 SANDERS Samuel B. 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
42 ZATZ Ben Z. 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
43 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
44 MALATESTA Michael 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
45 NOBLE Colin 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
46 SHAO Peter 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
47 RODE Leon J. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
48 KREGER Evan 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
49 DREITLEIN Eric 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
50 HUANG Tyler T. 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
51 SIRAGUSA Chris 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
52 SWITALA Dylan F. 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
53 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
54 HU Andrew 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
55 GRYCIUK Koby 27% 46% 22% 4% - - -
56 BLEYMAN David 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
57 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 9% 1%
58 LAMHAOUAR Ryan 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
59 MOULTON Ian 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
60 BUCCINO George 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
60 XIAO Ethan 73% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.