American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TALAAT Mohamed 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
2 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 MILGRAM Nathan A. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
3 WU Mengke 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
5 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
6 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 18% 3%
7 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
8 YEN Preston 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
9 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
10 TANG Albert 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
11 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
12 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 11%
13 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
14 MARGULIES William 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
15 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
16 FISK Ethan 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
17 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
18 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
19 TSUNG David 100% 99% 95% 80% 50% 20% 4%
20 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
21 GOEBEL Alex J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
22 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
23 WOLIN Zachary 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
24 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
25 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
26 XU William 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
27 LEE Jude H. 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
28 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
29 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
30 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
31 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 17% 2%
32 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
33 CLYMER Lucas Y. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
34 ANGKATAVANICH Owen 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
35 CLAWSON Amzie 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
36 CHENG Kyle 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
37 TOPF Karl B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
38 DIPIETRO Christopher J. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
39 TISHININ Alexander D. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
40 PANDEY Neil 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
41 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
42 ZATZ Ben Z. 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
43 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
44 MALATESTA Michael 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
45 NOBLE Colin 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
46 SHAO Peter 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
47 RODE Leon J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
48 KREGER Evan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
49 DREITLEIN Eric 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
50 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
51 SIRAGUSA Chris 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
52 SWITALA Dylan F. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
53 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
54 HU Andrew 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
55 GRYCIUK Koby 100% 73% 26% 4% - - -
56 BLEYMAN David 100% 87% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
57 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
58 LAMHAOUAR Ryan 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
59 MOULTON Ian 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
60 BUCCINO George 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
60 XIAO Ethan 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.