Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
2 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
3 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
5 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
6 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
7 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
8 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 6%
9 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
10 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
11 WANG Winston 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
12 YANG Dylan 100% 94% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
13 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
14 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
15 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
16 WANG Rory 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
17 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
18 WANG Brian 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
19 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22%
20 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
21 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
22 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
23 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
24 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
25 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
26 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5%
26 GE Daniel 100% 88% 46% 13% 2% - -
28 GERRISH William 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
29 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
30 BHAN Amar 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
31 WOODCOCK Henry 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
32 HARRA Alexander 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
33 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
34 SCHLACK Jake 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
35 LI Ayren 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
36 SHANNON Jack 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
37 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
38 TOOMRE Kai 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
39 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
40 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
41 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
42 SIMON Luke 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% - -
43 LEE Charles T 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
44 WONG Jacob W. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
45 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
46 BAI Brian 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
46 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
46 TANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
49 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
50 XU Ethan 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
51 COSSROW Alex 100% 83% 33% 4% - - -
52 MARTIN Darius 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
53 CHENG Austyn 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
54 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
55 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
56 KELSEY Simon 100% 40% 4% - - - -
57 WASDEN Elisha 100% 98% 77% 30% 5% - -
58 MOREA Anderson 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
59 WIDOFF-WOODSON Jackson Leroi 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
59 SURESH Rohan 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
59 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
62 MUNDY Ezra 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
63 MALICSI Zane 100% 91% 49% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.