Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
2 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
3 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
5 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
6 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
7 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
8 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
9 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
10 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
11 TENG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
12 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
13 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 24% 3%
14 KANG evan R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
15 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
16 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
17 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
18 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
18 TRUDNOS Allen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
20 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
21 FIGUEREDO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
22 ENGEL Peter 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
23 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
24 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
25 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
26 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
27 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
28 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
29 DOWNEY Baran 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
30 OH Triton 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
31 WEN Edward 100% 100% 99% 74% 32% 6% -
32 SHAH Sajan 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
33 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
34 HUANG Connor 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
35 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
36 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
37 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
38 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
39 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
40 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
41 WANG Weiyun 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
42 FANG Eason 100% 91% 49% 12% 1% - -
43 KESSLER Josh 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% -
43 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
45 MATTOO Surya 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
45 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
47 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
48 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1%
49 XU Justin 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
50 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
51 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 97% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
52 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
52 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
54 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
55 LAU Justin Y. 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2%
56 WU Richard 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
56 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
58 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
59 TIAGI Daniel 100% 99% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
60 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
61 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 86% 44% 12% 1% -
62 PERRON Robert 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4% -
63 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
64 BUCK Maximilian 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
65 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
66 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% 1%
67 KIM Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
68 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
69 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
70 FELDMAN Drew 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
71 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
72 KESSLER Nathan 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
73 LIGH Checed 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
74 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
75 CHENG Hong 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
76 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
76 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
78 CHEN Samuel 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
79 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
80 MARGULIS Jared 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
81 WAGNER Calvin 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% - -
82 KUMAR Arjun 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
83 PARRA Rodrigo 100% 36% 2% - - - -
84 ZHOU Grant 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
85 KIM Theodore 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
86 COURTIN Frederic 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
87 ZHAO Lucas 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
88 DELISSER Matthew 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
89 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 95% 53% 14% 2% - -
90 TIAGI George 100% 91% 55% 19% 4% - -
91 WANG Yufei 100% 74% 13% 1% - - -
92 BARROWS Hunter 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
93 SADHU Neiyam 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
94 HENDERSON Jack 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
95 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
96 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 34% 5% - - - -
96 DRZEWICZEWSKI Sean 100% 89% 44% 10% 1% - -
98 FARAON Paulus 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
98 SUN Benjamin 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
100 KUPER Tristan 100% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.