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Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Siwen - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
2 BOYNTON Ainsley - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
3 FERNANDEZ Martina - - 3% 19% 45% 34%
3 CANSECO Carly - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
5 CHI Claire - 8% 35% 39% 15% 2%
6 HENRY Soraya S. - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
7 HAMMERSTROM Aria 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
8 HU Anna 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
9 KRAVCHENKO Mariia - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
10 XIE Nora - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
11 HSU leah - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
12 HUANG Neila 2% 28% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
13 COLBY Mercer - 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
14 ZHAO Emily W. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
15 BARROSO Isabela 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
16 XU Emily T. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
17 FLATT Sophia - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
18 FAVO Isabella - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
19 CARTER Keely - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
20 ELNATAN Mica A. - 4% 24% 42% 25% 5%
21 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 20% 54% 22% 3% - -
22 COOVADIA Malina 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
23 BERNARD Kathryn - 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
24 PADANILAM Lily 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
25 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. - - 8% 32% 43% 16%
26 CAO Sophie 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
27 BARBORIAK Emily 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
28 ZHANG Jiaqing 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
29 TODD Phoebe 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
30 SYED Azra 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
31 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 59% 36% 5% - - -
32 WODISKA Ava 88% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.