Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
3 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 CANSECO Carly 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
5 CHI Claire 100% 100% 92% 57% 17% 2%
6 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
7 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
8 HU Anna 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
9 KRAVCHENKO Mariia 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
10 XIE Nora 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
11 HSU leah 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
12 HUANG Neila 100% 98% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
13 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
14 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
15 BARROSO Isabela 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
16 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
17 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1%
18 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
19 CARTER Keely 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
20 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 5%
21 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 80% 26% 3% - -
22 COOVADIA Malina 100% 51% 12% 2% - -
23 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
24 PADANILAM Lily 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
25 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 100% 100% 91% 59% 16%
26 CAO Sophie 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
27 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
28 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
29 TODD Phoebe 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
30 SYED Azra 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
31 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 100% 41% 5% - - -
32 WODISKA Ava 100% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.