Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Sherry - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 5%
2 ZHANG Jane - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
3 DESAI Ela - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
3 YAO Chloe 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
5 WRIGHT Madison - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
6 WORKNEH Lulit - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
7 BURT Emmalyne Grace 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
8 D'ANGELO Olivia - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
9 CAO Carolyn 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
10 LEE Kate - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
11 FAN Joy 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
12 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
13 GOH Cayla - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
14 TAYLOR Reagan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
15 DE COSTER Florence - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
16 BERGAN Bailey - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
17 BUNCH Helena 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
18 LIU Addison 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
19 BUNCH Halle 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
20 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
21 YANG Hannah 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
22 NATHAN Ariel 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
23 GORDON Hannah 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
24 MORET Teagan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
25 MEGGERS Arya 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
26 SEXTON Leila 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.