Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 5%
2 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
3 DESAI Ela 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
3 YAO Chloe 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 WRIGHT Madison 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
6 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
7 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
8 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
9 CAO Carolyn 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
10 LEE Kate 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
11 FAN Joy 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
12 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
13 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
14 TAYLOR Reagan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
15 DE COSTER Florence 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
16 BERGAN Bailey 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
17 BUNCH Helena 100% 82% 42% 13% 2% - -
18 LIU Addison 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
19 BUNCH Halle 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
20 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
21 YANG Hannah 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
22 NATHAN Ariel 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
23 GORDON Hannah 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
24 MORET Teagan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
25 MEGGERS Arya 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
26 SEXTON Leila 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.