The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Junior Men's Saber

Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROCPool Heatmap

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
34 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 YAN William 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
5 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
6 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
7 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
8 LAU Justin Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
9 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
11 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
12 ONG Chinli 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
13 REHM Liam 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
14 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
15 LIN Felix 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
16 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 2%
17 ETIN Ari 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 40% 6%
18 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
19 SUN Ziyao 100% 99% 85% 44% 10% 1%
20 PARCELL Colby 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
21 HALL Noah 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
22 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
23 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% - -
24 BAKIAN Tristan 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
25 DRZEWICZEWSKI Sean 100% 67% 20% 3% - -
26 FRUTH Evan 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
27 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
28 FARAON Paulus 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
29 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
30 ELLIOTT Reyhan 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
31 BERGER Jacob 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
32 GERALD Hunter 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
33 AHLMAN Jason 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
34 KENNEDY Aidan 100% 68% 18% 2% - -