Event Results
2018 Falcon OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SULLIVAN Cameron W. | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 2 | SHUGART Henry R. | V V D V V | V V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | BLYTH Jourdain L. | D V V D V | V V V V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 3 | SPIER Julian H. | V V D V V V | V V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| 5 | YUNG Zheng | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | KIMATIAN Stephen Z. | V V V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) | V V D V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 8 | DRYJA David | D V V V V D | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 9 | SMITH Calvin R. | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | ELGEZIRY Amro | V D V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 11 | KRAMER Jack P. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 12 | BRISLAWN Reilly R. | V V D V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | ETCHELL Thomas W. | V V D V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 14 | VAN LAARHOVEN Peter | D V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 15 | ANDERSON Brendan P. | V D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 16 | YEE Rex | V D V V D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 17 | NIEBERGALL Colin G. | V D V V V | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 18 | GASPAROVICH IV George M. | D V V V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 19 | ALAIMO Charles | V V D V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 20 | HOLDERNESS Landon | V V V D V D | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 21 | ZONE Liam | V V D V D V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 22 | MILLETT Seamus T. | V V V D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 23 | MAURER Chip (Charles) P. | V D V D V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 24 | BOYCE Samuel H. | D V D V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 25 | KAJI Ty | D D V D V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 26 | KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) | D V D D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 27 | BRANDRETH Garret | V D V D D D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | KRAMER Mark | D D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 29 | SMITH Jackson | D D D V D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 30 | BURCH Tristan H. | D D D D V | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 31 | EBELL Ivan D. | D D D D D V | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 32 | MAYFIELD Aaron | D D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 33 | TRIFILETTI Lawrence T. | D V D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 34 | SOLTER Kai | V D V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 35 | MCMORRAN Ian W. | V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 36 | WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. | D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 37 | PJESKY Marshall A. | D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 38 | BOYCE David S. | D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 39 | REDD Andrew C. | D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 40 | LEWIS Duncan | D D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 41 | NUSZ Derik P. | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 42 | GREGORY Tony | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 43 | ALLISON John J. | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 44 | DE JONG Titus | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |