USAFA Cadet Gymnasium, Center Gym - Colorado Springs, CO, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SULLIVAN Cameron W. | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 2 | SHUGART Henry R. | V V D V V | V V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | BLYTH Jourdain L. | D V V D V | V V V V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 3 | SPIER Julian H. | V V D V V V | V V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| 5 | YUNG Zheng | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | KIMATIAN Stephen Z. | V V V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) | V V D V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 8 | DRYJA David | D V V V V D | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 9 | SMITH Calvin R. | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | ELGEZIRY Amro | V D V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 11 | KRAMER Jack P. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 12 | BRISLAWN Reilly R. | V V D V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | ETCHELL Thomas W. | V V D V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 14 | VAN LAARHOVEN Peter | D V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 15 | ANDERSON Brendan P. | V D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 16 | YEE Rex | V D V V D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 17 | NIEBERGALL Colin G. | V D V V V | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 18 | GASPAROVICH IV George M. | D V V V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 19 | ALAIMO Charles | V V D V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 20 | HOLDERNESS Landon | V V V D V D | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 21 | ZONE Liam | V V D V D V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 22 | MILLETT Seamus T. | V V V D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 23 | MAURER Chip (Charles) P. | V D V D V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 24 | BOYCE Samuel H. | D V D V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 25 | KAJI Ty | D D V D V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 26 | KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) | D V D D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 27 | BRANDRETH Garret | V D V D D D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | KRAMER Mark | D D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 29 | SMITH Jackson | D D D V D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 30 | BURCH Tristan H. | D D D D V | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 31 | EBELL Ivan D. | D D D D D V | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 32 | MAYFIELD Aaron | D D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 33 | TRIFILETTI Lawrence T. | D V D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 34 | SOLTER Kai | V D V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 35 | MCMORRAN Ian W. | V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 36 | WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. | D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 37 | PJESKY Marshall A. | D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 39 | REDD Andrew C. | D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 41 | NUSZ Derik P. | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 42 | GREGORY Tony | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 43 | ALLISON John J. | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 44 | DE JONG Titus | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.