2018 Falcon Open

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 9:30 AM

USAFA Cadet Gymnasium, Center Gym - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Cameron W. - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
2 SHUGART Henry R. - 1% 10% 36% 41% 12%
3 BLYTH Jourdain L. 3% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
3 SPIER Julian H. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
5 YUNG Zheng - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
6 KIMATIAN Stephen Z. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
7 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
8 DRYJA David - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
9 SMITH Calvin R. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
10 ELGEZIRY Amro - 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 3%
11 KRAMER Jack P. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
12 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
13 ETCHELL Thomas W. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
14 VAN LAARHOVEN Peter - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
15 ANDERSON Brendan P. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
16 YEE Rex 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
17 NIEBERGALL Colin G. - 1% 8% 32% 43% 17%
18 GASPAROVICH IV George M. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
19 ALAIMO Charles - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
20 HOLDERNESS Landon - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
21 ZONE Liam 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
22 MILLETT Seamus T. - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
23 MAURER Chip (Charles) P. - 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
24 BOYCE Samuel H. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
25 KAJI Ty 17% 47% 31% 4% - -
26 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 2% 15% 32% 33% 16% 3%
27 BRANDRETH Garret 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
28 KRAMER Mark 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
29 SMITH Jackson - 3% 19% 45% 28% 5%
30 BURCH Tristan H. 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
31 EBELL Ivan D. 16% 42% 34% 8% 1% - -
32 MAYFIELD Aaron 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
33 TRIFILETTI Lawrence T. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
34 SOLTER Kai 20% 45% 30% 5% - -
35 MCMORRAN Ian W. 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
36 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
37 PJESKY Marshall A. 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
39 REDD Andrew C. 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
41 NUSZ Derik P. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
42 GREGORY Tony 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
43 ALLISON John J. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
44 DE JONG Titus 17% 41% 33% 9% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.