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Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FERNANDEZ Martina - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
2 XU Emily T. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
3 HENRY Soraya S. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 HAMMERSTROM Aria - 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
5 HUCHWAJDA Pola - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
6 BERNARD Kathryn 6% 25% 39% 25% 6%
7 FAVO Isabella - - 2% 15% 40% 42%
8 ZHENG Valentina 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
9 HU Anna - 2% 14% 35% 37% 13%
10 CHI Claire 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
11 BOYNTON Ainsley 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
12 HSU leah - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
13 ELNATAN Mica A. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
14 XIE Nora - 11% 32% 36% 18% 3%
15 BARROSO Isabela 1% 10% 34% 36% 16% 2%
16 TA-ZHOU Emma 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
17 FLATT Sophia - 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
18 DAVIDOVA Kira 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
19 MCAFEE Jada 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
20 CAO Sophie - 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
21 LEE Alyson 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
22 COOVADIA Malina 10% 43% 35% 11% 1% -
23 PADANILAM Lily 11% 34% 36% 16% 3%
24 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
25 HUANG Neila 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
26 ZHANG Jiaqing 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
27 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
28 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 84% 15% 1% - - -
29 ROUIS Nina 64% 31% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.