Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
2 XU Emily T. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
3 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
5 HUCHWAJDA Pola 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
6 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
7 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
8 ZHENG Valentina 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
9 HU Anna 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
10 CHI Claire 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
11 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
12 HSU leah 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
13 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
14 XIE Nora 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 3%
15 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
16 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
17 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
18 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
19 MCAFEE Jada 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 2%
20 CAO Sophie 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
21 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
22 COOVADIA Malina 100% 90% 47% 13% 2% -
23 PADANILAM Lily 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
24 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
25 HUANG Neila 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% -
26 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
27 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
28 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 100% 16% 1% - - -
29 ROUIS Nina 100% 36% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.