2023 Arizona Summer Nationals Qualifiers

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCBRYAN Teresa 100% 99% 90% 55% 13%
2 PYE Emily 100% 77% 29% 2% < 1%
3 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 98% 69% 20% 2%
3 NICHOLS Amber 100% 100% 100% 97% 70% 23%
5 BAKER Tina 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
6 STANT Hannah 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
7 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 100% 83% 42% 11% 1%
8 KUNIHIRO Ashley 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
9 ULRICH Zoe 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
10 GROTTS Loy 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
11 TAARIQ Tanisha 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
12 CEPIN Ash 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
13 FAIR Elizabeth 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
14 BARVICK Kathleen 100% 92% 50% 13% 1% -
15 MARIKOS Christina 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
16 BILLINGS M. Saylor 100% 37% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.