Spring Showdown

E & Under Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASTROPAOLO Jonah - 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
2 BRILLANT Phill - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
3 GREENLEAF Paul - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
3 GREENLEAF Ella - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
5 SCHURK Daniel - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
6 BRATTAIN Trey 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
7 SCHLACK Jake 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
8 SULLIVAN Redmond 4% 21% 39% 29% 7% -
9 TRAUB Will 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
10 MCDERMOTT Cate - 5% 21% 40% 29% 6%
11 BIENSTOCK Alexis 11% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
12 TESSMAN Henry 14% 58% 25% 3% - - -
13 ZHANG Daniel 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.